I. Ageing

I. Ageing

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Demographic ageing is a transformation (the result of a number of successes) that makes us become more complex populations

What is demographic ageing?

It is the evolution from populations with many births, which were necessary due to many premature deaths, to populations that require few births since nearly all those who are born live much longer.

Population pyramid
in Spain:

Source: National Institute of Statistics.

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Is demographic ageing reversible?

No, it is not a reversible condition; it is a new demographic reality. The solution doesn’t involve fixing it, but rather adapting to it.

How does this evolution occur?

It is an overall change, one that has occurred slowly, gradually and over time throughout the last century and a half. During this time, we have faced health and survival crises, such as the flu of 1918 or the Spanish Civil War, or the two world wars in the case of other populations. All of these crises caused the conditions for survival to temporarily worsen, but they did not change the overall trend towards the sustained growth in longevity and the transformation in the reproduction and structure of populations.

Evolution of
life expectancy:

NEANDERTHAL

30
years

500 BC / 500 AD

Classical Greece and Rome

35
years

500 / 1500

Middle Ages

38
years

1800 / 1850

19th Century

40
years

1900

60
years

1950

72
years

2000

81
years

2019

84
years
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This transformation occurred in two major steps:

1

Reducing early mortality. We are now more equal in the face of death!

1850

1950

Simulation of life expectancy when the same person is born in 1850 or 1950.


2

Extending life trajectories.

1950

2000

2019

63 years

81 years

84 years

65 years

79 years

84 years

72 years

80 years

83 years

69 years

78 years

83 years

72 years

79 years

84 years

61 years

76 years

81 years

Interesting factcuriosidad

Do you think we are
moving towards an inverted pyramid?

See answer

No; if we consider large populations (such as the Spanish or European population), we will not eventually see an inverted pyramid. The population graph will evolve from a pyramid shape (where many individuals are born, but a good number of them soon die) to a tower shape (where almost all who are born live a long life). Nevertheless, during the first half of the 21st century, population graphs will be marked by the baby boomers (individuals born in Spain during the 1960s and the first half of the 1970s), an especially large generation since there were many births at that time.

On another level, in smaller populations that were greatly affected by emigration flows in the 20th century, it is possible that population graphs are more like inverted pyramids.

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